Ethereum Ready For Price Rally As STH Numbers Set To Cross 4 Million — Here’s Why

By: cryptonews|2025/05/04 09:45:01

Alongside the general crypto market, Ethereum (ETH) registered a significant market recovery at the end of April to return above $1,800. After an extensive price correction that began in December 2024, the prominent altcoin may have finally found some bullish momentum to turn around investors’ fortunes. Interestingly, prominent crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci has shed some positive light on this development. Ethereum Retail Investor Inflows Support Bullish Case In an X post on May 2, Burak Kesmeci postulates that Ethereum may be entering a prolonged price uptrend based on the short-term holders’ activity. According to the seasoned analyst, the number of ETH short-term holders or traders is headed for a particular threshold that historically signifies a long-term price rally. In the ETH market, short-term holders refer to wallets or addresses that have recently acquired ETH, usually less than 155 days. These investors are usually sensitive to market trends and price volatility, often driven by speculation and quick profit-taking rather than long-term conviction. Typically, a rising number of short-term investors indicates renewed market interest due to new market entrants. However, Kesmeci states that ETH short-term holders, presently at 3.92 million, must cross above 4 million to suggest the ETH market possesses sufficient bullish strength for a robust uptrend. Notably, Ethereum produced strong price rallies when STH numbers previously rose above 4 million, as seen in 2022 and 2024. Kesmeci states that as long as ETH short-term holders remain below this threshold, it may reflect insufficient market demand to sustain Ethereum’s current rally. Meanwhile, the number of Ethereum long-term holders has now reached 104.24 million, indicating a strong market confidence in the asset’s price appreciation prospects. A rise in LTH generally occurs due to coin maturation as short-term holders opt against selling for over 155 days. Ethereum SMA 365 Presents Another Barrier Alongside developments in the short-term holders cohort, Burak Kesmeci notes that Ethereum remains far below its 365-day simple moving average (SMA 365), suggesting that market bulls are yet to take full control of the market. As the name implies, the SMA 365 measures the average closing price over the last 365 days. It is used to indicate price trends and often acts as a resistance in bearish markets or support in bullish markets. Despite recent market gains, ETH must move above its SMA 365 at $2,849 to confirm any intent of a strong uptrend. At press time, Ethereum trades at $1,835, reflecting a price decline of 0.80% in the past day. Meanwhile, the asset’s trading volume is down by 15.01%.

On March 4, 2026, DDC Enterprise Limited (NYSE American: DDC) today announced preliminary, unaudited full-year financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2025. The company expects to achieve record revenue and record positive adjusted EBITDA, primarily driven by continued growth in its core consumer food business and overall margin improvement. The final audited financial report is expected to be released in mid-April 2026.

2025 Full-Year Financial Highlights

Revenue: Expected to be between $39 million and $41 million, reaching a new company high.

Organic Growth: Excluding the impact of the company's strategic contraction of its U.S. operations, core revenue is expected to grow 11% to 17% year over year.

Gross Profit Margin: Expected to be between 28% and 30%, reflecting continued operational efficiency improvements.

Adjusted EBITDA: The company expects to achieve a positive full-year result in 2025, a significant improvement from a $3.5 million loss in 2024, mainly due to rigorous cost controls and a higher-margin sales mix.

Core Consumer Food Business Performance

In 2025, DDC's core consumer food business maintained strong operational performance.

The company also disclosed Core Consumer Food Business Adjusted EBITDA, a metric that further excludes costs related to its Bitcoin reserve strategy and non-cash fair value adjustments related to its Bitcoin holdings from adjusted EBITDA to more accurately reflect the core business performance.

In 2025, Core Consumer Food Business Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $5.5 million and $6 million.

Bitcoin Reserve Update

In the first half of 2025, DDC initiated a long-term Bitcoin accumulation strategy, holding Bitcoin as its primary reserve asset.

As of December 31, 2025: The company holds 1,183 BTC.

As of February 28, 2026: Holdings increased to 2,118 BTC

Today's additional purchase of 65 BTC brings the company's total holdings to 2,183 BTC

DDC Founder, Chairman, and CEO Norma Chu stated, "We are proud to have closed 2025 with record revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA, demonstrating the steady growth of the company's consumer food business and the ongoing improvement in profitability. We are building a disciplined, growth-oriented food platform and strategically allocating capital to Bitcoin assets with a long-term view, aligning with our core beliefs. We believe that this dual-track model of 'Steady Consumer Business + Strategic Bitcoin Reserve' will help DDC create lasting long-term value for shareholders."

Adjusted EBITDA Definition
For the full year 2025, the company defines "Adjusted EBITDA" (a non-GAAP financial measure) as: Net income / (loss) excluding the following items:· Interest expense· Taxes· Foreign exchange gains/losses· Long-lived asset impairment· Depreciation and amortization· Non-cash fair value changes related to financial instruments (including Bitcoin holdings)· Stock-based compensation

About DDC Enterprise Limited

DDC Enterprise Limited (NYSE: DDC) is actively implementing its corporate Bitcoin Treasury strategy while continuing to strengthen its position as a leading global Asian food platform.

The company has established Bitcoin as a core reserve asset and is executing a prudent, long-oriented accumulation strategy. While expanding its portfolio of food brands, DDC is gradually becoming one of the public company pioneers in integrating Bitcoin into its corporate financial architecture.

Uncovering YZi Labs 229 Investment: Over 18% of the portfolio is already inactive, with an average project transparency score of 78

In terms of strategic direction, YZi Labs has begun to extend into areas such as AI and stablecoins, but overall it is still in the layout and validation stage.

Trump Backs Crypto Bill, SEC Halts Leveraged ETF, What Is the English-Speaking Crypto Community Talking About?

What Was Hot in the Last 24 Hours Among Expats?

OpenClaw Floods Into Polymarket, Some Making Tens of Thousands Per Month

Are you ready to venture into Polymarket and dive into the shrimp farming craze?

Understanding Trump's "Warfare Playbook": Ten Signals Investors Must Know

Debriefing Trump's series of conflicts over the past year, this article outlines ten stages of Trump's conflict strategy, revealing the underlying logic between war, market fluctuations, and eventual negotiation.

Iranian Missile Heading Toward UAE, Claude Also Within Range

On March 1st, an Iranian missile struck an Amazon data center in the UAE. On the same day, Claude experienced a worldwide outage.

Successive Core Team "Heroes" Depart, Has Aave's DAO Dream Crumbled?

「This is not a matter of right or wrong, but rather a situation where existing governance mechanisms have not provided an effective resolution when interests and positions are misaligned.」

Is This the Year of the Robot? A Deep Dive into Robotics Projects

What are some noteworthy projects in the Robotic Race track?

When AI Takes Over Money: Bitcoin Becomes the "First Choice," Fiat Is Left Out

AI's view on "what makes a good currency" is already quite consistent.

AI Trading in Live Markets: 4 Lessons From a WEEX Hackathon Top 10 Finalist

AI trading meets real markets. Explore 4 lessons from a WEEX Hackathon Top 10 finalist on surviving volatility, trusting AI models, and building smarter crypto trading systems.

MegaETH Co-founder: 48 Hours After Leaving Dubai, I Reassessed the Entire Crypto Space

In an era of technological upheaval, rather than pursuing the "legitimacy" co-opted by power, it is better to sharpen the blade and build parallel systems that truly expand individual sovereignty.

Web3 Winter Mass Exodus: Resignations, Closures, Transformations, and Acquisitions

The intense collision between technology and capital, products and markets, vision and reality, each story reflects the confusion and unwillingness of the market participants.

March 4th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?

Taking Stock of Crypto's Washington Power Players: Who is Advocating for US Crypto Regulation?

These institutions have jointly defined the industry's underlying values, marking the U.S. crypto industry's shift to a "professionalized, ecological, and refined" era of policy gamesmanship.

DDC Enterprise Limited Announces 2025 Unaudited Preliminary Financial Performance: Record Revenue Achieved, Bitcoin Treasury Grows to 2183 Coins