Bitcoin (BTC) is testing a resistance zone where the long-term downtrend line intersects with the 21-month Exponential Moving Average (EMA). If it fails to convert this zone into a support level, the 50-month EMA is cited as the next technical benchmark. According to analysis by Rect Capital, Bitcoin is facing resistance from the macro downtrend line, which aligns with the 21-month EMA. If Bitcoin gets blocked at this resistance zone, it is expected to find support at the 50-month EMA. The key point of this analysis is structural rather than short-term price movements, explaining that Bitcoin needs to convert both long-term EMAs into new support levels and break above the macro downtrend line to confirm a new bull market. The EMA is a moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, interpreted as support when prices hold above the line and resistance when they are blocked below it. Currently, Bitcoin is testing a long-term resistance zone, and conditions remain before a bullish market can be confirmed until it breaks through this resistance.
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U.S. major indexes closed lower yesterday. Walmart’s weaker-than-expected same-store sales and guidance weighed on the consumer sector and dragged the three major averages lower. Silver and platinum rose sharply, supported by lower yields from expanded long-bond buybacks and a softer dollar. Bitcoin climbed toward $75,000, lifting crypto-related equities. Markets are now focused on the August S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMI flash readings due on August 21 U.S. Eastern Time, which will directly influence September rate-path pricing.
